Dollar Index Analysis May 6th 2012

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Dollar Index Technical Update – USDX – DXY – USD Technical Forecast

 Dollar Index Analysis May 6th 2012

  • The dollar index has seen four consecutive up days after 78.70 area support held at the start of the week.  Price is now retesting the previously broken ascending trend line.
  • This area is just below a touch of the descending trend line which is currently around 30 USDX pips to the upside.
  • Average daily range over 60 days is 49 pips with Friday giving 42 and 85% of ADR.
  • Average weekly range over 26 weeks is 135 pips with this week seeing 92 and 68% of AWR.  The weekly percentage gain was 0.90%.
  • The EURUSD triangle pattern (EURUSD is heavily weighted on the USDX) should be monitored as price action around the triangle apex could give a hint towards near term dollar strength or weakness.
  • 80.00 is still seen as a potential resistance area after capping the dollar index on numerous recent occasions; most recently on the 16/4/2012.
  • If no major fundamental data comes to light there is potential for USDX ranging between 78.70 and 80.00 over the coming sessions.  A breakout (daily close out of the aforementioned range) may give a medium term dollar index directional bias.

Dollar Index Daily Chart

dollar index analysis 2012 05 05 thumb1 Dollar Index Analysis May 6th 2012

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